Five of the six teams in Group 2 of the T20 World Cup have a chance of reaching the semi-finals.
India, South Africa, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Zimbabwe are all in contention ahead of Sunday’s final round. Only the Netherlands have no chance of progressing.
Both teams await New Zealand and England who have moved from Group 1.
Who meets them from Group 2 will depend on the number of games won or even a team’s net rate (NRR).
- South Africa (5pts) – Netherlands (2pts)
- Pakistan (4pts) – Bangladesh (4pts)
- Zimbabwe (3pts) – India (6pts)
Here’s what each team needs to do to stay in contention:
With six points from four games, India top the group. But progress is not guaranteed.
To ensure progress, India must beat Zimbabwe. But if they lose, they could still qualify if the Netherlands secure a shock victory over South Africa or if Bangladesh manage to beat Pakistan and ensure they don’t significantly improve their NRR.
Thanks to the schedule, India play last on Sunday, so they will know what the situation is before a ball is played.
“One thing I’ve learned about champion players, in this particular game, is that you never shut them out.”
Ricky Ponting has always believed in the excellence of Virat Kohli ✨@BYJUS | #T20WorldCup pic.twitter.com/wyWl3II0bj
— ICC (@ICC) November 5, 2022
Second in the current table are the Proteas with five points. Progress to the semi-finals is simple for South Africa: they must beat the Netherlands.
A single point from an abandoned game won’t be enough, as six points will be tied by the winner of the game Pakistan v Bangladesh – and that team will then have one victory more than South Africa, eliminating them.
With four points from four matches, Pakistan are in third place. They kept the dream alive but now their fate is no longer solely in their hands. If India and South Africa both win, Pakistan will be eliminated.
To progress, Pakistan not only have to beat Bangladesh, but hope that South Africa loses to the Netherlands – or their game is abandoned, or India loses to Zimbabwe.
Mohammad Haris arrives and plays his first game of T20 WC with the kind of intention the entire Pakistani team should have played with to begin with. The case of not qualifying for the semi-finals, if it happens, will depend solely on the approach, whatever the conditions.
— zainab abbas (@ZAbbasOfficial) November 3, 2022
Bangladesh are fourth in the group, level on points with Pakistan. But a low run rate means that for them to attempt to overtake India on the final day of the group game would require nothing less than a cricketing miracle: Bangladesh must beat Pakistan and Zimbabwe beat India, and the combined margin of victory over both games exceeds 150 runs.
The two underdog teams must not only win, but absolutely must beat their favorite opponents for Bangladesh to have a chance of qualifying for the semi-finals.
Zimbabwe’s three points put them second from bottom, but there is still hope, at least on paper.
A win against India would see Zimbabwe earn five points from their group campaign. If South Africa loses to the Netherlands, they will also have five points. And if Pakistan v Bangladesh is dropped due to weather, those teams will also have five points.
In this artificial situation, Zimbabwe would be level with those with points. But still, Zimbabwe’s NRR is so low that they would have to beat India by at least 50 points and the Netherlands beat South Africa by at least 50 points in order to raise their NRR enough to make it out.
There’s still a chance, but don’t bet your house on it.
The Dutch have had some torrid times in this World Cup Super 12, with only one win over Zimbabwe to tell.
That said, they could still play a huge role in this group to upset the apple basket: if they can pull off a win against South Africa on Sunday, it will shake up the whole tournament they leave behind.
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